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patrickWeb greeting

... my name is John Patrick and Attitude LLC is the name of Net Attitude my company. My activities include writing, speaking, and board service. I am fortunate to have quite a few affiliations and I get to work with people from whom I am constantly learning. Prior to "e-tirement", I was vice president of Internet Technology at IBM Corporation. Nearly everything I have ever said or written is here at patrickWeb or in my book, Net Attitude. As of today, the patrickWeb blog contains 851 postings. I hope you enjoy reading them -- and listening to some musical selections!

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daily  Thursday, May 15, 2008 
 

The World in 2050

BrainThe flight to Los Angeles last week was long but on schedule and it provided some time to make a dent in reading World Without End (sequel to The Pillars of the Earth) by Ken Follett on the Kindle. Holding the 10-once e-reader is a joy and the battery lasted throughout the six hour flight. The physical book -- 1,024 pages -- would not be a joy to hold for hours.

The purpose of the trip was to attend IBM's Business Partner Leadership Conference. The event was attended by roughly 1,000 business partners, IBM executives, members of the press, and information technology analysts. See "IBM Happenings - May 2008" for a list of some of the announcements made by IBM during the meeting. At the end of the first day was a special event at the University of California School of Cinematic Arts. The invitation only event included 100 or so analysts, members of the press, faculty members and students. IBM and USC had been holding discussions to map out a collaboration between some of the most creative minds in Hollywood with some of IBM's top scientists. Having known some of them for years I was really pleased with they selected. The moderator was Dr. Bill Pulleyblank, mathematician, computer scientist and predictive analysis expert. Bill is known for having managed a project in which a supercomputer named Deep Blue beat Gary Kasparov in a six game rematch. The panelists were all quite distinguished. Don Eigler, IBM Fellow, was the first ever to precisely manipulate individual atoms and spelling the word "I B M". Jeff Jonas, IBM Distinguished Engineer, expert in security and privacy, created much of the technology used in capturing criminals in Vegas casinos. Sharon Nunes, Head of the Energy and Environment business at IBM is a research expert in materials science and is working on numerous projects to save the environment. Last but not least was Ajay Royyuru, who leads IBM Research's computational biology team and IBM's liaison to the National Geographic Genographic project. Ajay participated on a past panel which I had the honor to moderate at Demo.

The breadth and depth of the panel could have kept the audience spellbound for quite a few hours. Will the future be like 2001: A Space Odyssey, Back to the Future, Incredible Journey or Star Wars? How can scientists help filmmakers create prescient depictions of the future?

Much of the discussion revolved around the merger of biology and systems. Some of the breakthroughs discussed included using nanotechnology to assure the availability of clean drinking water everywhere on the planet, self-healing spinal cords, and life span stretching well past the century mark? The human genome has been mapped but that is just the beginning. In effect the mapping provides the parts list of the human bodies. The next phase of research is to figure out what all those parts do and how they fit together. Not only will regenerating entire body parts be possible but embedded processors under our skin will make it possible to gain significant human augmentation of our capabilities. A project in Europe called Blue Brain is using IBM supercomputing technology to built a simulation model of the human brain. This is a very big undertaking but someday it could lead to curing some of the most dreaded diseases that afflict our societies.

Computer processing is already awesome but we haven't seen anything yet. A Mini Cooper has more computing power than Apollo 13 had. At the exponential pace of growth of computing capacity we may actually reach the Singularity in the next couple of decades.

Security and privacy are obviously crucial elements to the research agenda. We will be able to have an embedded super-PDA that can record every conversation you hear or say during a lifetime. Existing databases make it possible to specifically identify a person by only knowing their zip date of birth and gender. So much for witness protection programs. The good news is that ubiquitous sensors can make the world is less dangerous place. Yes, the government can watch the people, but the people can watch the government too.

I think we are very fortunate that IBM focuses vast sums of money and thousands of top notch people on solving some of the tougher global problems. There is money in some of it and long term business value is created but along the way societies around the world benefit greatly from IBM's work toward the greater good. Take a look at the most recent report on this to get an idea.

As for film making, I learned a lot in talking with some graduate students at the reception. They are all hoping to be as successful as Steven Spielberg, and no doubt some will. The surprising thing I learned is that the best quality movies are still captured on cellulose acetate based film. It is rare these days to see a professional photographer use anything other than a digital camera and apparently with wide angle, high contrast movie making, the industry is not quite there. Consensus was that it would be all digital within five years. Computers already play a huge role (no pun intended) in film making either for augmentation of scenes or for creating the very characters of the movie.

Conferences , IBM , Internet Technology , Media , People     May 15, 2008 11:21 AM



daily  Sunday, May 4, 2008 
 

Not a Good Fit

FriendsI have to admit that I am not surprised that the Microsoft - Yahoo! deal fell through -- in fact I thought it would. It is not the issue $33 per share or $37 per share. The issue is a mismatch in culture. I remember when Jerry Yang and David Filo, both Ph.D. candidates in Electrical Engineering at Stanford University, received an award at Internet World in 1994. They had converted their student hobby into a business that went on to have a major impact on the growth of the Internet.

"Jerry and David's Guide to the World Wide Web" became Yahoo! -- an acronym for "Yet Another Hierarchical Officious Oracle" but Filo and Yang also claim they also selected the name because they liked the general definition of a yahoo: "rude, unsophisticated, uncouth." The Yahoo! web site ran on Yang's student workstation, "Akebono," and Filo's computer, "Konishiki" - both named after legendary sumo wrestlers. I don't know for certain but I would bet anything these were both Unix systems. I also suspect that most of their development since the early days has been with Unix or Linux and certainly a lot of open source software in conjunction with the proprietary innovations they have created.

Microsoft has a lot of money and a lot of really smart people but the culture is different. Seems reasonable to assume that MSN was built on Microsoft's software -- if not then that is another story. MSN and Hotmail do not have the best reputation -- at least with those close to the Internet. Some would say Microsoft had sought to subsume the Internet in the early days while Yahoo has consistently embraced the Internet from day one. Microsoft has the reputation for being a place where workers toil individually while Yahoo has been is a Silicon Valley archetype where employees tend to work collaboratively.

The bottom line is that Microsoft and Yahoo! are both successful in their own ways but arguably they are oil and water. Merging them might make sense to the financial analysts but it makes no sense to many observers. If they were to come together financially it would take a decade to fully integrate the two to gain the benefits that would be expected. It may not be possible.

One thing is for sure. The beneficiaries of the failed merger will be the lawyers who will take many millions of dollars from both company's shareholders to sue and defend the failure to buy or sell.

Internet Technology , Media , People     May 4, 2008 06:34 PM



daily  Friday, May 2, 2008 
 

IBM Happenings: April 2008

IBM LogoIt has been a busy week for me here in Los Angeles at the IBM Business Partner Leadership Conference learning about many new announcements from the company and getting to hear visionary guest speakers on a broad range of topics. More stories to come about this over the next few days and weeks. The whole month of April was filled with a slew of IBM announcements in hardware, software, services, acquisitions, and strategic alliances. The list of announcements made during the month is here.

Related links
bullet Complete index of IBM Happenings

IBM     May 2, 2008 02:10 PM



daily  Tuesday, April 29, 2008 
 

Yottabytes

MRIA reader of the story about the hospital SmartCard project asked me if the card could store an MRI. The short answer is no, not today, but in the long term, yes for sure. The most important short-term role for the smartcard is authentication. The best example to explain that is Clear. The Clear smartcard contains a digital representation of each iris, all ten finger prints, and your photograph. When you present your Clear smartcard at the airport, there is no doubt that you are who you say you are. You then "fly through airport security" to your destination. Imagine the same at the hospital -- no more clipboards and filling out information they already have. It seems like a dream today but in the not too distant future we will be able to "fly" through the healthcare process, experience personalized medicine, and feel like the providers are giving us concierge treatment.

Back to the MRI question, where are the MRI's -- and CAT scans, X-Rays, and mammogram's -- stored? They used to be on film and the patient would carry them around from specialist to specialist and the hospital would keep football field size storage rooms loaded with them. Progressive hospitals today use a PACS (Picture Archiving and Communication System). The performance and reliability of PACS are critical to a hospital's ability to provide patient care. The PACSs have gotten better and better but physicians are continuously raising the bar. Understandably, CIO's and CFO's are concerned about the fast growth of storage needed as the imaging technology supports higher resolutions, more images per study, and escalating federal and state government storage requirements. Physicians want online access 24x7 from the office, hospital or their home to not only the MRI you had today but the one you had a year ago and maybe ten years ago. Hospitals have tried to cope with the increased demand by offering online storage for very current images and "nearline" storage for those that have been archived. Nearline often means that the image is stored on tape and can be brought online if a special request is made. Increasingly physicians and patients do not feel there is anything "special" about it -- they expect all data to be online all the time just like Amazon. The online retailer has every order they have ever received since the company started in 1995 online and available 24x7. Easy for them some might say. An order for a book is trivial compared to a digital MRI image.

How big is a digital MRI image? A recent cervical spine MRI contained 160 images and was approximately 60 megabytes in size. About the same as 200 iPhone pictures or 20 iTunes songs. Let's suppose a community hospital has 25,000 patient visits per year and that on average a patient has two image studies performed. That would be 50,000 times 60 megabytes which equals 3 terabytes. Now let's consider what size storage is available and how much it costs.

In the mid 1970's an IBM "disk pack" for a mainframe computer had a capacity of 200 megabytes -- about three MRI's. The entire storage system could contain eight "drives" for a total of 1.6 gigabytes. It seemed like a lot at the time. The cost of the disk drive that the disk pack fit on was nearly $200,000. During the last thirty years the cost has continuously plummeted while the capacity has skyrocketed. The Apple Time Capsule has a capacity of one terabyte and costs $499. IBM has a new storage system that offers up to 1,176 terabytes in a single system. Soon we will be talking about petabytes (1,000 terabytes) and then exabytes, zettabytes, and yottabytes. When I had written a story about yottabytes back in 2005 a reader said the term should be "alottabytes". A yottabyte is 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 bytes.

The bottom line is that there will be plenty of storage to put all our images online. The key challenge is the management of the data -- keeping it secure, backed up, resilient to disaster, and easy to access and manipulate. Many providers will decide to put all the data in the "cloud" and let someone else manage it. Amazon's Simple Storage Service (S3) is the tip of the iceberg. They charge $0.15 per gigabyte per month of storage used. IBM offers a wide range of storage services and also partners with many healthcare information technology companies.

The normal reaction would be that having all the images online is too expensive. I think many of us will instead think of it like electricity. Healthcare providers use a lot of electricity and some are beginning to cogenerate their own to save money. One thing they don't do however is consider having some of their electricity "offline" or "nearline". It is online 24x7. That is the way we will soon think of medical images.

Related links
bullet Other patrickWeb stories about healthcare

Healthcare , Internet Technology , Personal Computing     April 29, 2008 01:18 PM



daily  Monday, April 28, 2008 
 

Chocolate and Gum

ChocolateChewing gum In the story about the hospital SmartCard project, I made a reference to both Wrigley's Gum and M&M Mars candy. Little did I know that a few days later would come an announcement that Mars Inc. -- with some financial backing from billionaire Warren Buffett -- is buying The Wrigley Company, the one-hundred year-old powerhouse of chewing gum. The price tag for the acquisition is $23 billion and the merged companies will be the world's largest confectionery company.

Healthcare , e-Business     April 28, 2008 02:42 PM



daily  Tuesday, April 22, 2008 
 

Our Medical Records

Electronic Medical RecordsIt is 11PM. Do you know where your medical records are? Most likely they are scattered across multiple doctors' offices in manila folders. The most information about our healthcare encounters is with "payers", the insurance companies which pay for care if we are lucky enough to have the coverage. Most of their information is about medical codes and money -- not much about the actual "healthcare" that we experience. Pharmacies have tons of information on what we were prescribed but not why it was prescribed. Specialists have notes about our visits that our primary care physicians often have not seen. Meanwhile, a very large number of people -- some studies put it at 100,000 per year -- die from medical errors.

Patient safety, ballooning costs, and government budget pressures are accelerating the move toward electronic medical records. There are many variations on the theme. EMR's in the hospital, Personal Health Records on a smartcard, and Personally Controllable Medical Records on the web. EMR's are emerging from insurance companies, pharmacies, community doctors, hospitals, regional health information organizations, employers and software companies. It is not yet clear which EMR or combination will prevail. Personally, I will be glad when all my medical information is encrypted and stored on the Internet where I will know that at last it will be safe and under my control.

One thing I know for sure is that it is time to make major strides. There will be many participants in making it happen. Government and non-profit organizations such as HL7 must play a key role in establishing standards so that the various kinds of EMR's can be compatible. Most experts agree that Personal Health Records sponsored by healthcare providers have the best chance of success in the short term. Longer term "cloud-based" PHR's such as proposed by Google, Microsoft, and others have great potential but need to overcome trust and privacy concerns of consumers.

One provider pilot program that I think has potential is the "SmartCard" at Danbury Hospital in Connecticut. Five-hundred patients in the trial program can insert their smartcard in a kiosk (very similar to an ATM), confirm the identity displayed, and then receive a "ticket" -- just like at the deli -- to await being called for their test or procedure. The patients like it because they don't have to use the "clipboard" and the staff like it because they don't have to ask patients to use the clipboard. The potential goes well beyond just automating the check-in process. The smartcard can be the "carrier" for our electronic personal health record. At some point our mobile phones may take over the task but in the short to medium term the smartcard may prove to be a very effective aid to empowering consumers to manage their own our healthcare.

The potential is huge. Upon entering the office of our primary care physician the office system could recognize our smartcard and an exchange could begin which updates the hospital with the latest information on the card, updates the card with any updated test results the hospital may have, and updates the primary care physician with the latest test results plus notes from any specialist consultations. If the primary care physician "writes" a script on his or her system it could be automatically transferred to the smartcard and to the pharmacy system and when the patient gets to the pharmacy the card could be recognized and the prescription would be filled. All the information on the smartcard would be encrypted and accessible only after authentication by the smartcard holder. This could be done using a password or a biometric such as an iris scan or fingerprints. This may sound futuristic to some but similar things are already being done. Denmark began a drive toward paperless hospitals more than a decade ago and is achieving much success. Verified Identity Pass, Inc. has a vision of using smartcards to enable us to breeze through airport security lines. The Fly Clear smartcard contains digitized versions of both your iris scans and fingerprints.

There are numerous technical and financial challenges inhibiting the rollout of a smartcard system in a pervasive way. The biggest challenge is that the benefits are "shared" -- neither patient, provider, or payer can justify the cost but collectively everyone wins. It reminds me of the UPC challenge of the 1970's. In spite of large benefits from knowing what got sold and when, the grocery stores were hesitant to invest in UPC scanners because there were no products that had UPC symbols on them (the first product to have a code was a packet of Wrigley's Gum in 1974). The stores found it difficult to justify the cost even though there would be labor savings from scanning versus "ringing up". The package goods manufacturers were also skeptical, despite the benefit of knowing exactly how their products were doing at retail on a timely basis. I remember visiting the M&M Mars candy factory in Hackettstown, NJ in the early 1970's and discussing UPC scanning with the director of product packaging. She said there were not enough benefits to offset giving up the "real estate" on the candy bag to place a symbol for which there were hardly any scanners to scan them. (The first UPC scanner was installed at a Marsh's supermarket in Troy, Ohio in June, 1974). It took strong leadership, competition among retailers, and perseverance to get us to the ubiquitous scanning which we enjoy today.

Likewise with personal healthcare records. The benefits are huge -- increased accuracy of information leading to better outcomes and reduction in duplicative procedures, and ultimately personalized healthcare. Physicians will spend less time ordering procedures and medications, liability costs should go down due to fewer errors, increased collaboration will improve caregiving, patients will be able to relocate and take their healthcare data with them, and patients will be able to take a more proactive role in their own health and selection of providers. All it takes is strong leadership, competition among healthcare providers, and perseverance. The glass is half-full, not half-empty. It is likely that in the next five years we will see more progress toward electronic medical records than we have seen in the last twenty.

Related links
bullet Other patrickWeb stories about healthcare

Healthcare     April 22, 2008 09:22 PM



daily  Wednesday, April 16, 2008 
 

Apology

ErrorMy apologies for the serious typo in my latest post. I can not explain it. Thank you to the many who were kind enough to send timely email about the error which enabled me to fix it quickly. There are some things the spell checker doesn't catch.

Blogging     April 16, 2008 08:09 PM



daily  Tuesday, April 15, 2008 
 

SOA Las Vegas

Las VegasThe conference in Las Vegas this past week was not like the ones Thomas J. Watson used to hold in Endicott where all the blue suit white shirt male attendees would sing songs about IBM's future. The master of ceremonies for the opening morning was Drew Carey and the "dinner music" was by The B-52's -- the new wave rock band not the Boeing B-52 Stratofortress. I don't think anyone wore a blue suit or a white shirt.

What attracted the 6,300 people to fly to Las Vegas and fill every hall, ballroom, salon, patio, and restaurant at the MGM Grand? IBM calls it "Smart SOA". I call it The Application Web.

Only the most brilliant technical people could come up with SOA as a name for something. Let's see, is it safe operating area, School of the Americas, Skies of Arcadia (a Nintendo game), Society of Actuaries, state of the art, or the Sarbanes-Oxley Act? Nope. The SOA that brought all these people together stands for "service oriented architecture". It is really important. The wikipedia has a comprehensive definition of SOA but basically it represents a new way for companies -- and hospitals, schools, and governments -- to enable their customers -- and suppliers, business partners, and employees -- to get things done on the web. Actually it is isn't new -- the idea has been around for decades -- but now it is really happening. It is so much a part of the vernacular at IBM that they just matter of factly talk about "so a".

WebIn a nutshell, SOA will allow web sites to do much more than “click here to buy”. In fact web sites built with SOA will result in us standing in fewer lines in the physical world and have to endure fewer telephone call centers that want to control us. Fulfillment models at our favorite retailer’s web site will result in the staple goods we need just showing up outside the garage door when we need them. If businesses have the right attitude, SOA will enable them to get closer to the ultimate Internet -- to build a people-oriented and user-friendly experience that is tightly integrated with all the appropriate business processes of the company.

Over the last fifty years there has been an explosion of computer applications, but many of them were built in silos and were highly inflexible. In some cases companies thought decentralization was the answer so they allowed divisions and departments to do their own thing. The result was that many have a hodgepodge of incompatible systems that nobody is happy with. The web took things a big leap forward. At last there was a common way (the browser) for accessing and displaying information, even though the applications that run on the server -- that do the pricing, inventory lookups, shipping estimates, invoicing, etc. -- are still proprietary and usually tied to one particular IT vendor or system. The applications have also been very monolithic; i.e. in order to fulfill the expectations of customers on the web the application has to do the whole job. Soup to nuts; present the right price, confirm if the item is in stock, calculate shipping, and confirm the status of the order. Increasingly, customers want to get access directly into the supply chain and see exactly where their order stands. In short, applications have gotten larger and more complicated -- harder, not easier.

SOA -- arguably the biggest change in information technology in decades -- is poised to change the way applications are created and how they interoperate. Instead of building a monolithic application that takes a customer order, does credit checks, checks inventory, looks through the supply chain, arranges for payment, charges the customer, clears credit card transactions, etc., with SOA these various functions are built as separate "pieces". Think Legos. The individual programs are called "services" and they are called upon as needed. A sales tax calculation "service", for example, could be used by many different divisions of a company thereby eliminating redundancy. IBM has been practicing what it preaches in this regard. It has reduced the number of programs it uses to run the company from 16,000 to just a few thousand -- and declining.

The SOA services do not all have to be developed or acquired internally. Thanks to the Internet, services can be "rented" from others. For example, suppose that a company called American Specialties Inc. (ASI) specializes in selling American goods for delivery mostly outside of America. They want to create an application to sell their products on the web. The trickiest part of the application is determining the best way to ship the product to ensure it gets there when the customer wants it and at the lowest cost. ASI doesn't’t have the skills to write this particular part of the application and they haven’t bee able to find a vendor with a software package that can do it and which is compatible with the rest of ASI’s software.

It turns out that there is another company called Rates and Costs Inc. (RCI), which specializes in the calculation of optimum routes and the associated costs for shipment to places anywhere in the world. RCI offers the calculation as a service on the web and it is the exact function ASI needs to incorporate into their web application. Since RCI follows the SOA standards, ASI is able to see the specifications for RCI’s service – what inputs are required and what output does it produce. RCI could have created their calculation service using any IT platform they choose -- the standards assure that things can work together.

The programmer at ASI likes RCI’s program because it performs exactly the right function that ASI needs and the software has already been written and tested! ASI follows the SOA standards to incorporate RCI’s service into their web application. Whenever a user goes to ASI’s web page and needs shipment route and cost information, a link is made behind the scenes to RCI’s web server to get the information. ASI’s customers don’t know, nor will they care, that part of the job is being done by RCI’s server; not ASI’s server. ASI makes an arrangement to pay RCI each time one of ASI’s customers uses the RCI web service.

Creating programs by linking to other programs without regard to what programming language was used to create the others’ programs represents a whole new paradigm. It is one of the information technology industry’s holy grails. Standards organizations, such as Oasis, have been attempting for years to create a “neutral” programming environment. The UNIX vendors – HP, DEC, Sun, IBM, Data General, and others – formed various organizations, councils and consortia over the years attempting to bring things together. Progress was made but none of these initiatives achieved real openness and true compatibility across the information technology industry -- until SOA. It is not really new but it is time. Open Internet standards and SOA tools are making it happen.

SOA will make it possible for the web to evolve from a web of content to a web of content and applications. SOA will enable server-to-server interaction in addition to browser to server interactions. Servers will negotiate with other servers and even complete transactions by themselves with no direct human intervention. These interactions will replace the paper forms and faxes that flow back and forth from company to company today.

E-business evolved to on demand and on demand has evolved to business and IT "alignment". At this stage many enterprises have bought in to the concept but are struggling with how to get there. This is why many web sites don't fully meet our needs -- they are dependent on many independent applications that the enterprise has had for decades and so far have been unable to integrate them. SOA is the new model -- it offers the first comprehensive, standards based way to get the job done. Adoption of SOA will enable the interoperability within the many functions and departments of enterprises and between enterprises that has been a decades long dream. History has shown that adoption of standards leads to an explosion of usage and that will surely be the case with SOA. The SOA standards will enable entire industries to be brought together. Virtual corporations comprised of a federation of smaller ones will enable “hyper competition” on a global scale.

How does "Web 2.0" fit into all this? Like a ball and glove. Quite the hot topic in tech circles and among venture capitalists, Web 2.0 is basically a style, a model, an approach, and a philosophy wrapped together. It includes a "lightweight" programming model that is more like web page development than traditional programming. A key element of 2.0 is the blog feed -- a way to allow people to look at a web page but also subscribe to it. Another element is AJAX, a technique built on a collection of Internet standards that produces a rich user experience -- kayak.com is a good example -- with pages that don't "reload", they just change while you are looking at them. Another characteristic of Web 2.0 is that it is a perpetual beta -- users are treated as co-developers. At the conference, IBM announced WebSphere sMash which may turn out to be a really key tool for the evolution toward Web 3.0. Jerry Cuomo, IBM Fellow and CTO for IBM WebSphere, described a broad vision for how "smashups" will extend the web in a major way. The idea is to make it simple to combine content from multiple web sites. For example a travel agency may want to combine the best deals from airlines and hotels along with comments and discussion from tourists all in one "seamless" site. The smashup tool is based on a community project called "Project Zero" that has been underway for a number of months and is now ready to go mainstream.

All things considered, IBM really has it's act together with regard to SOA. Every software and services executive at the company is well versed on it and has it baked into their business and development plans. The promise is great and with tens of thousands of software engineers and top management support I think it is fair to expect IBM to continue to deliver on their vision. They have already made dozens of acquisitions to fill in the white spaces and customers are signing up and getting results. There were hundreds of customers and business partners there in Las Vegas to tell their success stories. Nothing is more creditable than having someone else tell your story for you.

Related links
bullet
great summary of IBM’s “Smart SOA” vision

Conferences , IBM , Internet Technology , On Demand , Travels , e-Business     April 15, 2008 08:25 PM



daily  Sunday, April 6, 2008 
 

IBM Happenings: March 2008

IBM LogoThe month of March was another busy one at IBM. The month was filled with a slew of announcements in hardware, software, services, acquisitions, and strategic alliances. The list of announcements made by IBM during the month is here. The complete index of prior IBM Happenings is here. A number of the announcements are related to datacenters. IBM builds state-of-the-art data centers around the world, not only for itself but for companies of all kinds. One of the most recent contracts was with Telecom Egypt. It will include the world's most sophisticated energy-efficient technologies.

Related links
bullet Complete index of IBM Happenings

IBM     April 6, 2008 09:03 AM



daily  Saturday, April 5, 2008 
 

patrickWeb Blogroll

patrickWeb Blogroll

BlogrollThe patrickWeb blogroll has been around for more than ten years. A blogroll is basically a list of blogs of other people. In my case, it is a list of blogs of people who are either good friends, people whose opinion I respect, or blogs I have found useful. I learned about blogrolling from my friend Joi Ito and then learned how to actually do it from blogrolling.com.

Now that we all live in a world of social networking, there are many ways to share not only links to your favorite blogs, but links to your favorite anything. (There are also numerous specialized ways to "tag" stories, pictures, songs and videos). At sites such as del.icio.us you can put all your bookmarks in one place and share them with anyone and everyone. But, it is still ok to have a good old fashioned blogroll.

One of the entries in the patrickWeb blogroll is The Guidewire. Guidewire Group is a market intelligence firm that is focused on technology entrepreneurship, early-stage companies, and emerging technology markets. The insight they have developed over the years is quite valuable to their clients and the community that has built up around them. The Guidewire Group analysts meet with hundreds of innovative companies each year and a subset of the companies ends up launching their product or service at a DEMO conference.

There are a number of stories about the DEMO conferences here in this blog but over at the The Guidewire blog there is quite a buzz going on. There are always debates about the future of emerging technology and whether we are living in a post-bubble or pre-bubble period . Now there is a debate about the future of the emerging technology conferences. The latest story is called Let's Get Real: Business is Not Personal.

Related links
patrickWeb blogroll
Related linkspatrickWeb stories about conferences

Blogging , Conferences     April 5, 2008 04:31 PM



daily  Friday, April 4, 2008 
 

Geocaching Update

Hiker As of this week there are 57,370 people who have accounts at geocaching.com. They have placed 550,474 caches around the world for others to enjoy finding. In the last 7 days, there have been 440,577 new log entries written by account holders describing their experiences at finding (or not finding) the caches. For me, there are a lot more to find -- since January 2003 I have found 81 caches (plus 90 benchmarks) in eight states and seven countries. I really enjoy the sport and hope to find quite a few more caches this summer. Geocaching is the tip of the iceberg of "location based" applications.

There are many GPS receivers on the market now with some breaking below the $100 mark. The hot area is GPS for cars. Many new cars offer built-in units as an option but the "after" market is much larger. One of the newest entries is Dash. The new Dash Express claims to be the first two-way, Internet-connected GPS navigation system. The device delivers traffic and destination information in a new way. You can look up somewhere that you want to go using the Internet and then have that "waypoint" delivered via cellular or WiFi signal directly to your Dash. You then select the new waypoint and the GPS will guide you to your destination. The Dash can also show you the location of all other cars nearby that have a Dash. That makes it a good proxy for traffic but what would be much better would be if all the GPS manufacturers got to together and agreed on a standard for information sharing so that each GPS could actually show the "total" traffic in the area, not just traffic of those cars that have a Dash.

I have been using GPS devices for quite a few years and have or have had most of the manufacturers. On the trike, I have the TomTom Rider. On other bikes I have Garmins. For the last few years I have been using a Magellan for geocaching. They make a really nice device but I don't like their software. GPS is becoming ubiquitous but the formats for the data storage and data interchange with PCs is a Tower of Babel. Magellan is not alone -- the entire GPS industry thrives on proprietary formats that they think help them maintain market share but actually constrict the market and confuse customers. Thankfully, there is a great piece of software called GSAK (geocaching Swiss Army Knife) that is indispensable for anyone who wants to exchange GPS data with their PC. I highly recommend it. GSAK allows you to download thousands of caches from geocaching.com to an easy to use desktop application. You can then sort them, search them, organize them in various ways, see all the logs of those of have found (or not) the caches, and a Google Map to show exactly where the caches are. Once you are ready to pack up and head for the trails, GSAK allows you to easily transfer the selected cache information to your GPS.

As soon as the backorder gets filled I will be ready to go geocaching with the new Garmin Colorado 400t. Looks like the Colorado will be a rugged and advanced handheld and it will be pre-loaded with detailed topographic maps with a 3-D map view, a high-sensitivity receiver, barometric altimeter, electronic compass, an SD card slot, picture viewer and a bright color display. I will be reporting on whether it is as good as it sounds or not. Meanwhile two of my Magellans went on eBay this week and hopefully they will make a new geocacher somewhere happy.

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Gadgets , Hiking     April 4, 2008 11:20 AM



daily  Sunday, March 23, 2008 
 

Kindlized

Electronic BookThe "e-book" -- replacing the paper book with something electronic -- is not a new idea. Project Gutenberg started in 1971 and now has a collection of 24,000 books which have been digitized. Digital books can be read on a PC and there are various software offerings that can enable you to read books on your mobile phone or personal digital assistant. Over the years there have been various "e-book readers" introduced. The idea behind the e-book reader is to have a dedicated device that is optimized for reading. I have never met anyone, myself included, that found reading a book on a PC, a handheld device, or an e-book reader to be a good experience. For years I have believed that the day would come but that so far nothing can compare to a real book. That was before I became "Kindlized".

I first saw the Amazon Kindle in early February when Steve Brotman, a fellow director of Knovel Corporation, showed me his at a board meeting. I was not convinced it would be different than the many predecessors I had tried but I was intrigued enough to order one. After waiting a month for the backorder to be filled, I opened the box, turned on the Kindle and within a couple of minutes I was reading Ken Follet's The Pillars of the Earth in a new and comfortable way. I had recently purchased the paperback version of "Pillars" for $14.97 and was about half-way through the gripping 1,000 page novel. With my new acquisition I visited the Kindle bookstore on the device and keyed in "pillars". I selected the Follet novel and in less than a minute the Kindle version was ready to read. The $7.99 charge for the e-book was automatically placed on my credit card. There is no login, user id, password or network connection process. The "Amazon Whispernet" (from Sprint) is totally seamless. In addition to more than 100,000 books, you can also choose from a dozen or so top newspapers and magazines plus a few hundred blogs. If you are an author, there is a streamlined process to Kindlize their books. It took me less than five minutes to add Net Attitude to the Kindle Bookstore. You can also add virtually any document of your own such reports, long emails, user guides, or just about anything.

The most amazing thing about the Kindle is how easy it is to use. Amazon set out three years ago to create an entirely new portable reading device with the ability to wirelessly download books, blogs, magazines, and newspapers. The Kindle uses "electronic paper" that makes the screen as sharp and natural as reading ink on paper without the strain and glare of a computer screen. You have to see it to believe it. The device weighs ten ounces, never becomes hot, and is easy for both "lefties" and "righties" to read comfortably at any angle for long periods of time. I have arthritis in my neck and need to read without bending my head down. I use a reading stand which works very well except with large books like "Pillars", it is hard to keep the book open on the stand. No problem with the Kindle. It just sits there and when it is time to "turn the page" you just tap a button on the Kindle and the next (or previous) page appears. You can select from six font sizes to suit your taste and compensate for lighting conditions. If you encounter a word you are not familiar with, a couple of clicks the built-in New Oxford Dictionary displays the definition. You can add bookmarks, notes, and take "clippings" as you read. It is a joy to use. All things considered, I think Amazon has hit a major home run with the Kindle.

The Chinese invention of paper in 105 A.D. changed the way the world communicates. The invention of "e-ink" may change it again. The electronic-paper display provides a sharp, high-resolution screen that looks and reads like real paper. The screen displays the ink particles electronically. It reflects light like ordinary paper and uses no backlighting. There is no glare and you can read as easily in bright sunlight as in your living room. With the addition of a $10 memory card, the Kindle can store more than 1,000 books. All you put in your briefcase is the paperback sized Kindle. The battery life is good and full recharge takes just 2 hours. Don't forget to pack the charger when you go out of town. I am away for a few days and forgot mine. I finished "Pillars" but now I have to wait until Tuesday to start another book.

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Gadgets     March 23, 2008 05:25 PM



daily  Wednesday, March 19, 2008 
 

IBM Happenings: February 2008

IBM LogoThe month of February was another busy one at IBM. There was a slew of announcements in hardware, software, services, acquisitions, and strategic alliances. See the full list of announcements made by IBM during the month and the complete index from prior months. One announcement that I found particularly interesting was that IBM scientists -- in collaboration with the University of Regensburg in Germany -- were able to measure the force it takes to move individual atoms on a surface. This was the first time that this has ever been done. Understanding the force necessary to move specific atoms on specific surfaces is one of the keys to designing and constructing the small structures that will enable future nanotechnologies. Building a steel or concrete bridge would be impossible without understanding the forces on the various structures -- likewise when building things at the atomic level. Miniaturizing storage and computing devices to the ultimate limit – the scale of just a few atoms – will require radically new designs and manufacturing methods and the breakthrough ability to measure the force it takes to move an atom will become a fundamental ingredient. Nanotechnology will be changing our lives in the years ahead by enabling vast amounts of personal information storage and incredible new capabilities in healthcare, and just about everything around us will contain amazing new materials

IBM     March 19, 2008 02:15 PM




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